Boston College Preview

January 31, 2008 at 10:16 am | Posted in Jackie Manuel, Lates Links | 3 Comments
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Carolina basketball returns! Boston College are in town and tonight’s game will be a big test. For some reason we are 21.5 point favorites tonight. Does that seem crazy to anyone else?  The Eagles are coming off a tough loss and this is a huge game for them too. Tip is at 7 and this one is on ESPN.

ACC Now looks forward to the won-rese battle. A.J. Carr interviews Deon and his mom. At some point this season, I think Deon is going to have a huge game for us….maybe even 6 days from now. Roy is hoping the break will help us play better defense. Mentally. I’m an awesome defender in my mind. Tar Heel Fan has a preview. Nice headline.

Belicheat running up the score again? Better than Cleo! Is Deadspin racist? Super Bike> Baseball? Lopsided match-up? CONCCCAAACACACACACACACACAF Cash Cup?

Bob Orr A Scalper?, Frank Deford Really Has Lost It

January 30, 2008 at 10:03 am | Posted in Jackie Manuel, Lates Links | 1 Comment
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Is this legal? Orr, a UNC alum, is running for Governor. Orr does have to get a slight bit of credit for being the only GOP to participate in the NAACP debate, but can he really be raffling tickets to a state university home game. Is there not some limit on the ticket price or rule about charging people to enter a sweepstakes? Anyone know a lawyer?

Eddy Landreth writes that Carolina is ready for the run in. Will Tyrese get a rest on Thursday? I’ll have more BC links tomorrow. Robbi Pickeral talks with Greg Little.

John Gasaway checks in on the big six conferences. The ACC stats:

Pace    PPP     PPP      EM
1.  Duke             75.1    1.13    0.93   +0.20
2.  North Carolina   75.3    1.15    1.03   +0.12
3.  BC               71.3    1.12    1.05   +0.07
4.  Clemson          69.2    1.08    1.05   +0.03
5.  Georgia Tech     72.2    1.05    1.02   +0.03
6.  Maryland         74.6    1.02    1.03   -0.01
7.  Miami            71.0    1.04    1.08   -0.04
8.  Virginia Tech    74.9    0.93    0.97   -0.04
9.  Virginia         70.2    1.00    1.04   -0.04
10. Wake Forest      72.8    0.97    1.06   -0.09
11. Florida St.      66.2    0.96    1.07   -0.11
12. NC State         68.2    0.96    1.13   -0.17

Gasaway goes on to write that he thinks Duke is the favorite next week in the Dean Dome. Anyone else feeling nervous? 10 years ago things were the same?

Is that all it took? I don’t believe in karma…but this is nice for those who do. There is pointless speculation and whining douche bagginess all over this Al Featherston piece. Payback!

I love NPR’s Morning Edition, but holy f8cking shite, this was lame. That this came right after Tom Goldman called Tom Brady “impossibly handsome” was enough to completely ruin my morning.

Making t-shirts to save the world.

January 29, 2008 at 1:36 pm | Posted in Basketball, Politics, Ric | 4 Comments
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This seems pretty lame to me.

To symbolize Duke’s commitment to sustainable environmental practices, recycling and water conservation, the Cameron Crazies – Duke’s enthusiastic student fans – will wear green shirts emblazoned with the slogan, “BLEED BLUE, LIVE GREEN,” the university announced.  

I’m all for conservation.  But do you really need to make a bunch of t-shirts to be worn once and then discarded, winding up at Thriftworld most likely.   North Carolina’s state motto is “To be, rather than to seem.”  This is the opposite of that.  Does Coach K even believe in global warming? Is he still glad Bush won* the 2000 election

*If by winning, you mean losing the popular vote and winning the electoral college after the Supreme Court ruled to stop the recount.

Jack Daly Is No Statistician

January 29, 2008 at 9:58 am | Posted in Jackie Manuel, Lates Links | Leave a comment
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Here we are right in the middle of a long break and Jack Daly practically begs me to go FJM on him. I’m not going to do it, though. It is too easy and all of the Posse readers already understand tempo’s role in evaluating statistics.

Heh. Too easy is right up my ally! For those who are not registered with the Durham Herald Sun, Daly makes the case that bad defensive teams often win:

The 2005 UNC team was 217th in the country in scoring defense. If memory serves, everything worked out fine for that band of Tar Heels.

So the fact this current UNC squad ranks 250th in the country in scoring defense might not mean the end is near. Especially since the No. 4 Tar Heels (19-1, 4-1) share something else in common with those Williams teams.

The fact that Jack Daly gets paid to write an article where Scoring Defense is used for the primary analysis is absurd. You wanted to know what we had in common, though right?


Both the ’02 and ’05 squads had the highest scoring offenses in the country. This year’s team? Well, it’s second. But it’s on the right track, trailing only VMI in points per game.

That is absolutely crazy. You mean….we scored a ton of points and allowed a ton of points. What could be responsible here? There seems to be some variable that might help us understand?

Scoring defense is probably an imperfect measure of a team’s defensive ability, mind you.

Historically speaking, Williams’ squads have pushed the pace to the point it would be unrealistic to expect them to yield the same amount of points as a grind-it-out team like Wisconsin or Michigan State, who might have 20 less possessions per game.

Wait a minute. Jack Daly gets it. Those first eight paragraphs were a set up! We have more possessions and so scoring offense and defense are meaningless! I take it back, Jack.

When one gets down to it, field-goal shooting is the best predictor of Final Four potential, at least in the last decade.

Just about every team who has made it the national semifinals has been adept at hitting shots and preventing opponents from doing the same. On average, the 24 most-recent Final Four teams have been 30th in the country in field-goal shooting and 38th in field-goal percentage defense.

So the key: score more than the opposition! This is my key, Jack! Where is the JMP hat tip! You know that thing you were missing when citing scoring defense, there might be something missing with FG % here. If I take 100 shots and they take 80…. you can actually win with a lesser FG %. There is one other problem here. Right now we are ranked 25th in FG%. However we don’t take many threes (only 304). Three is more than Two. You can actually have a worse FG % and score more points by taking and making threes. Remember the key is more points, Jack!

Carolina March has some actual analysis. Luke Winn talks with the Wear twins. I did not know they played with Taylor King. Adam Lucas has a new mailbag and in it he breaks down our close games. Luck or Grit? Joe Lunardi gives Dook the #1 seed in Charlotte. This is the most interesting story-line for me right now. Dook is good again and we’ve got to beat them to that #1 seed.

Football Outsiders looks back at the Super Bowl. Sanford’s Soccer Net has midweek Premiership previews. Cashley Cole is classy. State won’t have that problem for long.

Carolina Basketball Museum Opens…Clearly A Slow News Day

January 28, 2008 at 9:50 am | Posted in Jackie Manuel, Lates Links | 3 Comments

Not much to blog about this morning, really. I’ll have to see it the next time I attend a game. Eddy Landreth mentions a rad letter from MJ to Coach K near the end of this article. I can’t find too much else. Carolina March says we should try and enjoy the season. Marcus Ginyard called Greg Paulus a douche bag (not true…at least the Marcus calling him part).

FA Cup 5th round draw was this morning. Photo of the Day. Nice work. Well done, Eric. Where is this year’s version? FJM on the RBI.

Key to Spurs victory: Al Dente!

January 24, 2008 at 3:46 pm | Posted in Football, Ric, Sports | 8 Comments

The recent Spurs revival is not just the result of superior tactics and effort according to coach Juande Ramos, but due also to solid home ec. skills.

“Every player has been given an individual diet. We knew that it was necessary.”

Dr Escribano’s instructions cover the preparation of menus and guidelines on what the team are allowed to eat and drink at home as well as when they are at away fixtures.

The directives include a strict time limit on for how long spaghetti should be boiled, which 20 rice sauces are banned and the dozen central ingredients in the players’ salads. 

I’d also suggest they avoid lasagna

 

 

 

North Carolina Get Third League Road Win

January 24, 2008 at 10:05 am | Posted in Jackie Manuel, Lates Links | 2 Comments

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The Heels had a pretty comfortable second half which was nice for all of us. Tyler and Tywon were just too much for the Hurricanes and the win moves us to 4-1 in the ACC.  What kind of show would Lawson and Hansbrough have? Could be a hit. We won the game at the line and by destroying them on the offensive glass. The D was very average and we did play a 1-3-1 for a possession or two. It did seem like the pressure defense was turned up a bit and we got 8 steals while forcing accepting 17 turnovers. Carolina now has an 8 day break before hosting Boston College next Thursday. It will be the last weekend without a game until April (hopefully). The Tar Heels are currently on pace to get that #1 seed that would allow us to play the first four games of the NCAA tournament in North Carolina. Obviously, Dook is right there with us. They are probably our main competition for that spot, so the games could be even more intense this season. If that is even possible.

Dan Wentzel hypes Tywon’s NBA potential. I was a tad skeptical about his size, but honestly he looks to have legitimate starting potential in the pro game. Jeff Goodman writes that the computer has east coast bias. Jeff Goodman is a douche bag. Victory a burden?

Dick Stomped? New York v. Boston. Football Outsiders looks at the small battles?

No blog tomorrows as I’ll be in the lesser Carolina.

Bienvinedo A Miami

January 23, 2008 at 10:12 am | Posted in Jackie Manuel, Lates Links | 3 Comments

A trip to Coral Gables might be just the ticket for this basketball team. With all of the negativity and aura repairing the team gets to focus on a tough basketball game. Maybe the team just needs to improve the want to? I really want them to win tonight, so hopefully that will be enough. Wayne Ellington will have his family with him and the Hurricane crowd is ready for us. Miami got off to an amazing 12-0 start before losing to Winthrop, Boston College, and N.C. State. Their defense is getting a lot of attention, but is actually worse than ours. Probably due to the weak opposition they’ve been facing. Haith is playing 10 guys over 15 minutes a game and so they should be able stay fresh, especially if they get the slower paced game they want. I’m guessing we win by 15 or more.

Tar Heel fan noticed that the zone is not likely to become a regular option for us. Upping the pressure seems most likely.

I ordered this for a friend of mine. We lost the biggest game of the year. Badly.

OK…We Get It…Now…What Can Be Done?

January 22, 2008 at 10:01 am | Posted in Jackie Manuel, Lates Links | Leave a comment

It was much more interesting when I felt like I was the only one concerned about our D. Now, it is a national story and THE focal point of all Tar Heel basketball coverage. Seeing as this is a blog, I must take on the (MS)Media’s all too easy answers and opinions. Here is a half-hearted attempt:

1. Enough with the scoring defense numbers please. Anyone using tempo-free stats to disparage our D will get JMP snark (truly terrifying). We play fast. We score more. They score more.

2. Teams that play worse D than we do: Kentucky, Pittsburgh, Xavier, Texas, California, and Florida.

3. Occasionally…very occasionally…teams can drastically improve their defense. It is only January 22.

That is all I have. The truth is we have to make some big changes. Nobody has won a title with a defense ranked in the 30s or 40s. Some are comparing this team to the 2005 team which also took a lot of heat for poor defensive play. However that team was good on the defensive end. Very good. A couple of things we could consider that might make our D a bit better:

1. Occasional zone. I know. I know. If we play zone, it WILL hurt our offense. Still, that might be a trade we need to make. I e-mailed Mr. Pomeroy last week, asking if our offense might be even better than last season and he was not buying. In transition, we are a tad better, but our half court O is not quite as good. If we play a lot of zone, we would surely find out how good our offense is without the easy baskets. I favor playing it at least a little bit though.

2. More aggressive trapping and man to man. Hey…if you are going to give up easy baskets anyways, at least get the steals to go with it. Play even faster and get out in the passing lanes. Overplay and make things difficult for guys on the perimeter.

3. Hard work. Roy is telling his guys to work harder right now….I’m sure of it. I’m not sure how much better we can get, but you could see an improvement in focus, I suppose. Teams are destroying us with one screen and so maybe some work on helping and switching might see us improve. Boxing out also is basketball 101. We don’t do it very well and perhaps someone can go back to junior high and learn how to do that. This kind of stuff does not usually improve during the season. Either you have quick feet and good defensive awareness or you don’t. No need for Roy to tell them there is nothing they can do though, right?

Adam Lucas looks at something besides the D in the mailbag. More touches for Tyler seems reasonable.

Canes win two in a row! What a dreadful Super Bowl. Well done. Can Sp*rs finally beat Arsenal?

Brief Maryland Preview

January 18, 2008 at 10:34 am | Posted in Jackie Manuel, Lates Links | Leave a comment

Short and sweet this morning. What happened to Maryland? I really thought this year’s team would be formidable. The Terps come to Chapel Hill after getting an ugly win over Wake Forest. Gary Williams has his team playing great defense, as usual, but this year’s team is really, really, really having a hard time scoring. The turtles turn the ball over on almost a quarter of their possessions and for some reason Bambal Osby is a focal point of their offense. With losses to VCU, Ohio, and American on Maryland’s resume, they are going to need a big time win to be in the conversation this March. They managed to beat us last season in College Park, but unless Greivis goes off like DJ did we should be OK. For those not going, this one is on ABC @ 3:30.

Is this the greatest era? Are we clutcher than last season? More like a nightmare, really. Immortality…if we play State every game. Has it really dropped yet?

Dook is deep. What a douche bag. Loving it…loving it so much. Have a fantastic long weekend!

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